TAIL.

Audit

@nqwizard

Sample data
kalshi

Calibration · 30D · 49 resolved

84/100

Grade Bgrade ≥ 78calibration 0.68 (§7.3)

@nqwizard grades 84 of 100 on 49 resolved markets — band B, consistently better priced than the market. That is calibration 0.68 (§7.3), and the record behind it is 31W–18L over 30D.

  • Score (§7.2)79.5
  • 30D return+150%
  • Record31W18L
  • Board rank#2 overall

Checks

Formulas
  • pass25+ resolved markets49 resolved in the 30D window (§7.1 ranks at 25; §7.3 needs 25 samples for calibration)
  • passno integrity flagsnone of the §7.4 flags are set on this record
  • not runaccount age ≥ 14 daysnot checkable here — the public identity view exposes no account age; the stats job applies §7.1 before it ranks

Integrity flags

None set on this record. The three §7.4 flags a stats run can set are:

  • parlay_noisemulti-leg/combinatorial fills, excluded from score and shown separately
  • wash_suspectoffsetting buy/sell in the same market inside two minutes, repeated
  • anomalystake size more than 10× the trailing median

Receipts · resolved only

Sample data

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The grade above was computed from public venue fills. Yours mints the same way, from your own — no forms before the value.

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Historical results from verified exchange data. Not investment advice. Trading involves risk of loss.

Grade, checks, flags and receipts here are computed from illustrative sample data — not a real trader and not real results. A record here is what already settled: open positions are not counted, and a grade reads past calls rather than forecasting the next one.

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